Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Green Jr. * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Allen Flanigan * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Johni Broome * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jaylin Williams * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Zep Jasper * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K.D. Johnson | 24 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Donaldson | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lior Berman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Sasser * | 31 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter