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2023-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Green Jr. * 32 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 9 3 -
Allen Flanigan * 32 3-8 0-3 4-5 9 2 1 0 0 10 14 -
Johni Broome * 31 4-8 0-1 6-16 6 1 0 1 0 14 14 -
Jaylin Williams * 31 5-14 1-5 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 14 3 -
Zep Jasper * 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
K.D. Johnson 24 1-7 1-3 5-7 3 2 0 0 3 8 3 -
Dylan Cardwell 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Chris Moore 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tre Donaldson 8 2-3 2-2 0-2 0 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
Lior Berman 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tramon Mark * 37 9-17 0-4 8-9 9 0 1 0 1 26 18 -
Jamal Shead * 34 2-8 0-4 6-7 2 5 1 1 1 10 10 -
J'Wan Roberts * 32 2-8 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 5 2 6 10 -
Jarace Walker * 32 3-8 1-2 0-0 10 2 0 6 1 7 16 -
Marcus Sasser * 31 7-14 5-9 3-3 1 2 1 0 1 22 11 -
Reggie Chaney 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Emanuel Sharp 13 1-4 1-3 4-5 4 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
Terrance Arceneaux 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ja'Vier Francis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter