Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Peterson * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| B. Ellis * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. White * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Waters | 30 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Hornery | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hauser * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Akins * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Walker * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Hall | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Cooper | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Kohler | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Holloman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter