Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Nunn * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ace Baldwin Jr. * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Johns Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Nicholas Kern * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Deloach * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| David Shriver | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Zeb Jackson | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Christian Fermin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Toibu Lawal | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Banks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ducas * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| L. Johnson * | 40 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Saxen * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| K. Bowen * | 38 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Mahaney * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Marciulionis | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Joshua Jefferson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Howell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter