Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Rice * | 39 | 6-19 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Audige * | 38 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Boo Buie * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Ty Berry * | 31 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robbie Beran * | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tydus Verhoeven | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Martinelli | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter