Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Moore * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Dashawn Davis * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quinerly * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 27 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Charles Bediako * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Noah Clowney * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Noah Gurley | 21 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Bradley | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Rylan Griffen | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Pringle | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nimari Burnett | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dominick Welch | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter