Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Fuller * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown II * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Raequan Battle * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Caleb Fuller * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Robert Ford III | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Great Osobor | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter