Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -12 (71-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Mains * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Fuller * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 34 | 8-12 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Whitney * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Aanen Moody * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Josh Bannan * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Lonnell Martin Jr. * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Josh Vazquez | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Laolu Oke | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mack Anderson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter