Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hendricks * | 38 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 36 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendric Davis * | 39 | 10-16 | 5-7 | 8-9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 36 | 14-23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Elijah McCadden * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alex Lomax | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Johnathan Lawson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter