Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | +8.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +6 (76-70). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps * | 37 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mo Njie | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hendricks * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 31 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jay Young | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter