Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Funk * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Shulga * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Bairstow * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Ashworth * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Dorius * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Hamoda | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Zapala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| M. Parrish | 23 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Arop | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Seiko | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. LeDee | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
* = starter