Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +11 (87-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Webster * | 42 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| EJ Harkless * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jordan McCabe * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| David Muoka * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Keyshawn Hall | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 42 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 41 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Max Rice * | 39 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 39 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Pavle Kuzmanovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter