Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 40 | 5-20 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| John Tonje * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Lake * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| James Moors | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Baylor Hebb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trace Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Seiko | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Arop | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter