Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stevens * | 40 | 5-20 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Tonje * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Lake * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| I. Rivera * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - |
| P. Cartier * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Moors | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Palmer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Hebb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Seiko | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Parrish | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. LeDee | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Arop | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter