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2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% -
Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Stevens * 40 5-20 2-7 4-4 3 8 0 1 0 16 8 -
J. Tonje * 35 6-10 1-3 4-4 1 0 1 0 1 17 8 -
J. Lake * 31 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 10 6 -
I. Rivera * 29 0-3 0-1 1-2 8 1 1 3 0 1 11 -
P. Cartier * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 3 12 9 -
J. Moors 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 0 4 10 -
T. Jackson 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Palmer 8 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
B. Hebb 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Butler * 33 5-14 2-6 4-5 5 1 0 0 1 16 7 -
K. Johnson * 23 4-8 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 8 8 -
M. Bradley * 22 4-8 1-1 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 13 9 -
D. Trammell * 20 0-5 0-3 0-1 5 2 1 1 1 0 3 -
N. Mensah * 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 1 2 4 6 -
A. Seiko 26 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 7 3 -
M. Parrish 24 1-5 1-4 3-4 4 1 1 2 0 6 9 -
J. LeDee 19 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 3 0 3 5 10 14 -
A. Arop 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter