Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 45 | 8-19 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 45 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Carter Murphy * | 40 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 31 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Webster * | 41 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| EJ Harkless * | 39 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 13-18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 23 | - |
| David Muoka * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan McCabe * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Burist | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Keyshawn Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter