Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -26 (51-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Watson * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| J. Strawther * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Hickman * | 25 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Timme * | 20 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Bolton * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Smith | 27 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. Gregg | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| H. Sallis | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Reid III | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ducas * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Mahaney * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| L. Johnson * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| M. Saxen * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Bowen * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Marciulionis | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Howell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Wessels | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Barrett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter