Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ford Jr. * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Felts * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Fields * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 5 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| I. Nelson * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Lual | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Tingling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Williams * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| N. Phillips * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Punter * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Muhammad * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. McNeill * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Eugene | 28 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Turner | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Fields | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter