Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | โ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | โ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -17 (69-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Felts * | 38 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Omar El-Sheikh * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. * | 37 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Markise Davis | 32 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Julian Lual | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Daye Jr. * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Josh Uduje * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jomaru Brown * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Wilfried Likayi * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jimmy Nichols Jr. * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Essam Mostafa | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kylan Blackmon | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Basey | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Henry Abraham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Linton Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter