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2023-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 โœ— (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—

Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -17 (69-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Felts * 38 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 12 13 -
Omar El-Sheikh * 37 5-11 0-0 3-8 15 2 0 1 2 13 18 -
Terrance Ford Jr. * 37 7-10 4-4 7-8 0 5 1 0 3 25 18 -
Caleb Fields * 25 2-5 1-2 0-1 1 4 0 0 1 5 4 -
Izaiyah Nelson * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
Markise Davis 32 6-15 4-11 4-4 6 0 2 0 0 20 13 -
Julian Lual 22 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 9 9 -

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Daye Jr. * 36 7-13 2-6 8-10 4 5 1 0 1 24 20 -
Josh Uduje * 32 3-10 1-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Jomaru Brown * 31 5-12 2-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 4 12 6 -
Wilfried Likayi * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jimmy Nichols Jr. * 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Essam Mostafa 25 6-13 0-0 1-2 12 0 0 2 0 13 14 -
Kylan Blackmon 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D.J. Basey 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Henry Abraham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Linton Brown 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter