Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -1 (51-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Lorenzo Donadio * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Matt Rogers * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Lincoln Ball * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Connor Nelson | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaxon Knotek | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Ballisager-Webb | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Chris Gleaton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Deaver * | 32 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| T. Nelson * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Yoder * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Austin Inge * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Dorsey * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Jones | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Austin Benigni | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mike Woods | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Allison | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter