Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +39 (97-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Coleman * | 31 | 1-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Preston Phillips * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Neese * | 27 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Robbie Avila * | 23 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Julian Larry * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Henry * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Courvoisier McCauley * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trenton Gibson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Cade McKnight | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Bledson | 17 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jayson Kent | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zach Hobbs | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kailex Stephens | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Masen Miller | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rob Martin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter