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Duke Blue Devils 59
@
Virginia Cavaliers 49
2023-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -10 (49-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roach * 39 7-12 2-2 7-7 4 1 0 0 5 23 11 -
K. Filipowski * 35 8-17 1-5 3-5 10 1 3 0 1 20 16 -
T. Proctor * 33 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
M. Mitchell * 28 0-3 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 0 2 8 -
D. Lively II * 27 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 2 2 2 0 4 11 -
D. Whitehead 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 4 0 2 2 0 -
J. Grandison 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
R. Young 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Blakes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Beekman * 37 5-11 0-3 2-2 1 4 4 0 4 12 6 -
J. Gardner * 34 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
K. Clark * 32 1-9 0-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 3 6 -4 -
A. Franklin * 28 2-8 2-5 1-4 6 2 1 1 3 7 6 -
F. Caffaro * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. McKneely 22 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
K. Shedrick 19 1-2 0-0 3-3 7 1 0 1 1 5 11 -
R. Dunn 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 2 8 -
T. Murray 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter