Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelly Cummings * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Greg Elliott * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Federiko Federiko * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Nike Sibande | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nate Santos | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aidan Fisch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Marshall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski * | 16 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Young | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jaden Schutt | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kale Catchings | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Max Johns | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Reeves | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Hubbard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter