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2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Cummings * 29 0-3 0-2 4-4 0 3 1 0 3 4 2 -
B. Hinson * 19 2-6 1-4 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
G. Elliott * 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
F. Federiko * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
G. Diaz Graham 28 4-8 0-2 6-6 8 2 0 0 1 14 15 -
N. Sibande 27 6-11 3-5 2-3 7 1 0 0 1 17 13 -
J. Diaz Graham 22 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 1 0 5 9 -
N. Santos 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
KJ Marshall 4 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Fisch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell * 27 4-8 0-3 4-4 5 1 1 0 0 12 11 -
T. Proctor * 27 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 10 2 0 1 11 19 -
J. Roach * 26 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 6 1 0 1 9 14 -
D. Lively II * 22 5-6 1-1 2-3 4 1 0 2 0 13 14 -
K. Filipowski * 16 8-10 4-6 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 22 14 -
J. Grandison 17 3-5 1-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
D. Whitehead 14 3-4 1-2 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 8 8 -
R. Young 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Blakes 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Schutt 8 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
K. Catchings 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Johns 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Reeves 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
S. Hubbard 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter