Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +9 (56-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Carver | 31 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| F. Alston | 26 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Sanders | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Gilbert | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Black | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2 | - |
| M. Frazier | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Lewis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Bigott | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Porter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taylor | 39 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Hood | 35 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| L. Thompson | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Bowie | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Eaton | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Reed | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Pruitt | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Dickson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Leff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter