Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Moore | 40 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| S. Miller | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Semaya Turner | 34 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Filippa Goula | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Layla Laws | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| D. Ward | 18 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Adison Novosel | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jade Campbell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 36 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Thomas | 36 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Hamilton | 35 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Christian | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Owens | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Amaya Staton | 21 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Powell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Fursman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter