Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Flash | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +21.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moore | 40 | 5-11 | - | 4-6 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 21 | ||
| S. Miller | 35 | 2-8 | -1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | |
| F. Goula | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | - | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | |
| S. Turner | 34 | 7-17 | -4 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | |
| L. Laws | 22 | 1-9 | -3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -2 | |||
| D. Ward | 18 | 1-8 | -4 | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | |
| A. Novosel | 9 | -1 | -1 | - | -1 | ||||||
| J. Campbell | 6 | -1 | - | - | 1 | -2 | |||||
| M. McConnell | 2 | - | - | - | 0 |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 36 | 5-12 | -3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 | |
| K. Thomas | 36 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | ||
| M. Hamilton | 35 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | |
| D. Christian | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | |
| A. Owens | 21 | 2-3 | -1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | |
| A. Staton | 21 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | |||
| L. Melaschenko | 12 | 1-2 | -1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |||
| J. Powell | 8 | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | |||||
| A. Fursman | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
* = starter