Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| P. Rocca | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Wilson | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Masogayo | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Taylor | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| I. Delarue | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| I. Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Bryant | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dinnebier | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 12 | - |
| G. Berg | 32 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Gueldner | 31 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Bair | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| A. Miller | 28 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C. Becker | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. McAulay | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hawthorne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter