Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. McKay | 37 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| K. Young | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 17 | - |
| M. Turley | 35 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Pena | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Sanders-Woods | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Conner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Burpo | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Black | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Robinson | 38 | 9-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| K. Bullman | 37 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Wilson | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Crompton | 30 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Wong | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Aalsma | 13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Stinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Wright-Gaskins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Kelle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McGinnis-Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter