Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Roberts | 39 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Khalil Shabazz | 37 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Zane Meeks | 29 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Williams | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Volodymyr Markovetskyy | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Julian Rishwain | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Josh Kunen | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Saba Gigiberia | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Toni Rocak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Udeze | 38 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. | 37 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jaelen House | 35 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Javonte Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Birima Seck | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter