Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -21 (73-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 37 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Gray | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| A. Wilson | 30 | 13-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| J. Young | 28 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Stokes | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Clark | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. George | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Colson | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Bell | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Coates | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 39 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 33 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 24 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 20 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Joens | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter