Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +6 (91-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 40 | 5-27 | 1-10 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Monique Billings | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 27 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Durr | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Haley Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 43 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 43 | 12-26 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 20 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 19 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Milic | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter