Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 32 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 26 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Li Meng | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 38 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 35 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Young | 31 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 8 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cayla George | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter