Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sug Sutton | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 29 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ashley Joens | 13 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Madi Williams | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 35 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 29 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 20 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Hatar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leigha Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter