Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 29 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Joens | 13 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 16 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 35 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Harris | 20 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| R. Allen | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Hatar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter