Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +18 (94-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 32 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Joens | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker-Tyus | 28 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 25 | - |
| R. Howard | 28 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Gray | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Billings | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. McDonald | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| H. Jones | 20 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Robinson | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| I. Rupert | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Durr | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Amihere | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter