Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.9% | 13.1% | -10.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 38 | 8-22 | 4-9 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 37 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 31 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 29 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 26 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Madi Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter