Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 38 | 5-14 | 5-12 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jackie Young | 37 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 36 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cayla George | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 35 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dana Evans | 19 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Robyn Parks | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ruthy Hebard | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter