Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +29 (91-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 25 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 18 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Madi Williams | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ashley Joens | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azurá Stevens | 32 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 21 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Evina Westbrook | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter