Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 16-23 | 1-1 | 20-21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 39 | - |
| Jackie Young | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 32 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alaina Coates | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 35 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Haley Jones | 30 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Monique Billings | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Durr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter