Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 32 | 10-22 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Grace Berger | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 35 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 11-12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 28 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 26 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 17 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter