Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 33 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Leigha Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 32 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Smith | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Robyn Parks | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dana Evans | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ruthy Hebard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter