Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -22 (63-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 30 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Johannes | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 28 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jocelyn Willoughby | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 31 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Turner | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 25 | 3-16 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ashley Joens | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter