Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +21 (86-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 33 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| R. Howard | 32 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 31 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| N. Coffey | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. McDonald | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Robinson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Durr | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| I. Rupert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 35 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Young | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Wilson | 31 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. Gray | 31 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Stokes | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| C. George | 21 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Bell | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Coates | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Colson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter