Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 40 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Thomas | 40 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| R. Allen | 28 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| T. Harris | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 19 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | - |
| B. Hatar | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Carrington | 12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Bonner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| S. Sutton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Henderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter