Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (90-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 40 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rebecca Allen * | 27 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Natisha Hiedeman * | 18 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyasha Harris | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bernadett Határ | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DiJonai Carrington | 12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 30 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sug Sutton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Destanni Henderson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kadi Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter