Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (91-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 25 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Allisha Gray * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danielle Robinson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Haley Jones | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Laeticia Amihere | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Iliana Rupert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Asia (AD) Durr | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 12-21 | 6-13 | 12-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Megan Gustafson * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sug Sutton | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kadi Sissoko | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 12 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Liz Dixon | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter