Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (91-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 34 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 25 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| N. Coffey | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. McDonald | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Robinson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Billings | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| H. Jones | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Amihere | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Durr | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Rupert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 12-21 | 6-13 | 12-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 24 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Peddy | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Sutton | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 12 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Dixon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter