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2023-07-25

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 โœ— (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—

Actual: Dallas Wings -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 40 3-9 0-0 2-5 10 7 0 1 4 8 13 -
DeWanna Bonner 39 9-20 3-10 11-11 8 4 2 0 2 32 24 -
Natisha Hiedeman 37 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
Tiffany Hayes 35 8-15 2-6 10-10 4 5 0 0 0 28 22 -
Rebecca Allen 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 7 6 -
Olivia Nelson-Ododa 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 1 0 4 9 -
Tyasha Harris 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
DiJonai Carrington 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arike Ogunbowale 40 9-19 4-9 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 25 10 -
Teaira McCowan 35 8-15 0-0 5-8 15 0 0 2 1 21 22 -
Satou Sabally 32 6-15 1-5 3-5 13 3 1 0 2 16 16 -
Natasha Howard 31 4-11 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 0 1 9 7 -
Crystal Dangerfield 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 0 -
Awak Kuier 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Veronica Burton 15 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 3 1 1 2 7 7 -
K. Brown 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Odyssey Sims 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter