Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 25 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sug Sutton | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Megan Gustafson | 21 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kadi Sissoko | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Liz Dixon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danielle Robinson * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rhyne Howard * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haley Jones | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aari McDonald | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Iliana Rupert | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Asia (AD) Durr | 16 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Laeticia Amihere | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Hillmon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter