Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jefferson | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 22 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Sutton | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Peddy | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Dixon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 25 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Robinson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Howard | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| H. Jones | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Rupert | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. McDonald | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Durr | 16 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Amihere | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter