Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 38 | 7-19 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 34 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Monique Billings * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 16 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Durr | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas * | 38 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman * | 32 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Leigha Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter