Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 38 | 7-19 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| A. Gray | 35 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| N. Coffey | 34 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Robinson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. McDonald | 16 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Billings | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| I. Rupert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| H. Jones | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Durr | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Allen | 36 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 32 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| T. Hayes | 21 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Carrington | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Harris | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter