Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.3% | 12.7% | -10.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 28 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 24 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 32 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| B. Turner | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter